Intelligence Analysis as a Manifestation of a Grounded Theory

摘要

The often voiced criticism in academic and intelligence circles is that intelligence analysis lacks a structured methodology and relies on the intuition, impressions, and insights of analysts. In making these criticisms, the International Relations academic discipline attempts to credit itself with intelligence analysis while ascribing the failures of the United States Intelligence Community (IC) to the realm of intelligence analysis. Yet adopting models from other disciplines and launching "a revolution" in the thinking and methodologies of intelligence analysis is unnecessary. Intelligence analysis, particularly the basic kind, benefits from a rich and well-founded methodology that has emerged from analytic ranks.