Consideration of the Power Generation Mix from Perspective of Regulations*

摘要

In order to achieve the power generation mix in FY 2030, the government is promoting voluntary efforts for global warming by electric utilities combined with regulations. This paper, based on the latest data, clarified the status of progress and future outlook of non-fossil fuel based power ratio and benchmark target. In addition, it considered challenges focusing on the probability of achieving the power generation mix in FY 2030. The result of estimates showed that non-fossil fuel based power ratio in FY 2026 would approach 44%. For benchmark target in FY 2016, Index-A was not achieved, while Index-B was achieved. Needles to say, achieving the power generation mix in FY 2030 is important. But more than that, the power generation mix need to be considered and discussed from long-term perspective, from the view point of 2050, since energy situation in the world is rapidly changing and uncertain, such as declining oil price, progress of renewable energy and innovation etc.