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Using group decision support systems to acquire local information: an application to the Hong Kong dollar peg

机译:使用团体决策支持系统获取本地信息:港元钉住美元的申请

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摘要

Futurists often employ method such as Delphi to construct forecasts of critical events. The events are typically of a technological, sociological, environmental, or economic nature and are sometimes directly influenced by political actors. The studies that examine the events are often conducted by researchers and knowledgeable participants who reside within the country in which the events may take place. It is often the case, however, that multinational firms would like to forecast such events in countries in which they have neither substantial presence nor informed expertise.
机译:未来主义者经常使用诸如Delphi之类的方法来构建关键事件的预测。这些事件通常具有技术,社会,环境或经济性质,有时直接受到政治参与者的影响。检查事件的研究通常由居住在可能发生事件的国家/地区的研究人员和知识渊博的参与者进行。但是,通常情况是,跨国公司希望在既没有实质性业务也没有专业知识的国家中预测此类事件。

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