首页> 外文期刊>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions >The behavior of high-CAPE (convective available potential energy) summer convection in large-domain large-eddy simulations with ICON
【24h】

The behavior of high-CAPE (convective available potential energy) summer convection in large-domain large-eddy simulations with ICON

机译:大域大涡仿真夏季对流与图标

获取原文
           

摘要

Current state-of-the-art regional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models employ kilometer-scale horizontal grid resolutions, thereby simulating convection within the grey zone. Increasing resolution leads to resolving the 3D motion field and has been shown to improve the representation of clouds and precipitation. Using a hectometer-scale model in forecasting mode on a large domain therefore offers a chance to study processes that require the simulation of the 3D motion field at small horizontal scales, such as deep summertime moist convection, a notorious problem in NWP. We use the ICOsahedral Nonhydrostatic weather and climate model in large-eddy simulation mode (ICON-LEM) to simulate deep moist convection and distinguish between scattered, large-scale dynamically forced, and frontal convection. We use different ground- and satellite-based observational data sets, which supply information on ice water content and path, ice cloud cover, and cloud-top height on a similar scale as the simulations, in order to evaluate and constrain our model simulations. We find that the timing and geometric extent of the convectively generated cloud shield agree well with observations, while the lifetime of the convective anvil was, at least in one case, significantly overestimated. Given the large uncertainties of individual ice water path observations, we use a suite of observations in order to better constrain the simulations. ICON-LEM simulates a cloud ice water path that lies between the different observational data sets, but simulations appear to be biased towards a large frozen water path (all frozen hydrometeors). Modifications of parameters within the microphysical scheme have little effect on the bias in the frozen water path and the longevity of the anvil. In particular, one of our convective days appeared to be very sensitive to the initial and boundary conditions, which had a large impact on the convective triggering but little impact on the high frozen water path and long anvil lifetime bias. Based on this limited set of sensitivity experiments, the evolution of locally forced convection appears to depend more on the uncertainty of the large-scale dynamical state based on data assimilation than of microphysical parameters. Overall, we judge ICON-LEM simulations of deep moist convection to be very close to observations regarding the timing, geometrical structure, and cloud ice water path of the convective anvil, but other frozen hydrometeors, in particular graupel, are likely overestimated. Therefore, ICON-LEM supplies important information for weather forecasting and forms a good basis for parameterization development based on physical processes or machine learning.
机译:目前最先进的区域数值天气预报(NWP)模型采用公正级水平网格分辨率,从而模拟灰色区域内的对流。增加的分辨率导致解决3D运动场,并已被证明可以改善云和降水的表示。因此,在大型领域的预测模式下使用升级模型,因此提供了研究需要在小水平尺度下模拟3D运动场的过程的机会,例如深度夏季潮流对流,是NWP中的臭名昭着的问题。我们在大涡模拟模式(图标LEM)中使用ICOSAHEDRAL非水静止天气和气候模型来模拟深度潮湿的对流,区分散射,大规模的动态强制和正面对流。我们使用不同的基于地面和卫星的观测数据集,在类似规模的冰水含量和路径,冰云盖和云顶部高度的信息中提供信息,以评估和限制模型模拟。我们发现,对流生成的云屏蔽的时序和几何范围与观察结果很好,而对流砧座的寿命至少在一个情况下显着高估。鉴于单个冰水路径观测的大不确定性,我们使用一套观察来更好地限制模拟。图标LEM模拟云冰水路径,位于不同的观察数据集之间,但模拟似乎朝向大型冻水路(所有冷冻水流器)偏置。微微物理方案内的参数的修饰对冷冻水路中的偏差有没有影响和砧座的寿命。特别是,我们的对流日之一似乎对初始和边界条件非常敏感,这对对流触发产生了很大的影响,对对流触发但对高冷冻水路和长砧寿命偏差的影响很小。基于该有限的敏感性实验,局部强制对流的演变似乎基于数据同化而不是微微物理参数的大规模动态状态的不确定性。总体而言,我们判断深度潮湿对流的图标 - LEM模拟,非常接近对流砧座的时序,几何结构和云冰水路径的观察,而是其他冷冻水质仪,特别是Graupel,可能会大得多。因此,ICON-LEM为天气预报提供重要信息,并为基于物理过程或机器学习的参数化开发形成良好基础。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号