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Silicone v1.0.0: an open-source Python package for inferring missing emissions data for climate change research

机译:硅胶v1.0.0:一个开源Python包,用于推断出缺失的气候变化研究排放数据

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Integrated assessment models (IAMs) project future anthropogenic emissions which can be used as input for climate models. However, the full list of climate-relevant emissions is lengthy and most IAMs do not model all of them. Here we present Silicone, an open-source Python package which infers anthropogenic emissions of unmodelled species based on other reported emissions projections. For example, it can infer nitrous oxide emissions in one scenario based on carbon dioxide emissions from that scenario plus the relationship between nitrous oxide and carbon dioxide emissions found in other scenarios. Infilling broadens the range of IAMs available for exploring projections of future climate change, and hence Silicone forms part of the open-source pipeline for assessments of the climate implications of IAM scenarios, led by the Integrated Assessment Modelling Consortium (IAMC). This paper presents a variety of infilling options and outlines their suitability for different cases. We recommend certain infilling techniques as good defaults but emphasise that considering the specifics of the model being infilled will produce better results. We demonstrate the package's utility with three examples: infilling all required gases for a pathway with data for only one emission species, splitting up a Kyoto emissions total into separate gases, and complementing a set of idealised emissions curves to provide a complete, consistent emissions portfolio. The code and notebooks explaining details of the package and how to use it are available on GitHub (https://github.com/GranthamImperial/silicone, last access: 2?November?2020). The repository with this paper's examples and uses of the code to complement existing research is available at https://github.com/GranthamImperial/silicone_examples (last access: 2?November?2020).
机译:综合评估模型(IAM)项目未来的人为排放可用作气候模型的输入。但是,气候相关排放的全部列表冗长,大多数IAM都不会融合所有的。在这里,我们呈现硅胶,一种开源蟒蛇封装,其基于其他报告的排放预测,递送了无暗模糊的人为排放。例如,它可以基于来自该情况的二氧化碳排放的一种情况推断氧化二氮氧化物排放,加上其他情景中存在的二氮氧化物和二氧化碳排放的关系。 infilling扩大了可用于探索未来气候变化预测的IAM的范围,因此硅胶形成了由综合评估建模联盟(IAMC)领导的IAM情景气候影响的开源管道的一部分。本文介绍了各种infilling选项,并概述了他们对不同情况的适用性。我们建议某些infifiling技术作为良好的默认技术,但强调考虑潜入的模型的细节将产生更好的结果。我们用三个例子展示了包装的效用:为只有一种排放物种的数据缩小所有所需的气体,将京都排放量分成单独的气体,并补充一套理想化的排放曲线,以提供完整的,一致的排放产品。代码和笔记本解释包的细节,以及如何使用它都可以在GitHub(https://github.com/GranthamImperial/silicone,最后访问:2020年11月2日?)。使用本文的存储库和使用代码的示例和使用现有的研究现有的研究可在https://github.com/granthamperial/silicone_examples(最后访问:2?11月?2020)。

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