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Debt Overhang and Output Stimulation in Nigeria

机译:尼日利亚债务垄断和产出刺激

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This study examines the association between debt overhang and output stimulation in Nigeria for a period of 37 years extending from 1981 to 2017, utilizing time series data sourced from the statistical bulletin of Central Bank of Nigeria. Public domestic bank debit outstanding, public domestic non-bank debt outstanding, public foreign multilateral debt outstanding, and public foreign informal debt outstanding was employed as indices of debt overhang, with real gross domestic product utilized as proxy of output stimulation. The study employed ex-post facto research design. The augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test carried out revealed that all the variables are integrated of order one. The Johansen cointegration test carried out divulged the presence of long run relationship among employed variables. From the result of the study public domestic bank debt outstanding, public domestic non-bank debt outstanding, and public foreign multilateral debt outstanding have positive and significant impact on real gross domestic product, while public foreign informal debt outstanding exerts a positive and insignificant impact on real gross domestic product. The study recommended that the Federal government should sustain current level of debt or decrease the level of debt and also ensure that fund sourced from external and domestic sources are channelled to the designated projects.
机译:本研究探讨了尼日利亚债务突出和产出刺激之间的关联,从1981年到2017年延伸了37年,利用来自尼日利亚中央银行统计公报的时间序列数据。公共银行借记债务未偿还,公共国内非银行债务未偿还,公共外国多边债务未偿还,公共外国非正式债务欠款被聘为债务突破,具有实际国内生产总值作为产出刺激的代理。该研究采用了前后研究设计。进行的增强的DICKEY-FULLER单元根测试显示,所有变量都是一体化的。 Johansen Cointegration测试进行了泄露了所使用的变量之间长期关系的存在。从研究的结果,国内银行债务未偿还,公共国内非银行债务未偿还,公共外国多边债务突出对真正的国内外产品产生积极而重大影响,而公开的外国非正式债务优秀施加积极和微不足道的影响真正的国内生产总值。该研究建议联邦政府应维持目前的债务水平或减少债务水平,并确保来自外部和国内来源的基金被指定为指定项目。

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