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An Estimation of Human‐Error Contributions to Historical Ionospheric Data

机译:对历史电离层数据的人为错误贡献的估计

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Ground‐based radar sounders are used to characterize the dynamics and chemistry of Earth's upper atmosphere by using measurements of ionospheric peak electron density (NmF2) and its associated altitude (hmF2). Continuous sounder observations of the E and F regions of the ionosphere have been carried out regularly at dozens of stations worldwide since the midtwentieth century. A deep understanding of short‐ and long‐term upper atmospheric variability depends on a fundamental understanding of these observational data. The manual analysis of historical analog (predigital age) ionograms to derive the plasma frequency profiles and the ionospheric parameters hmF2 and NmF2 is a tedious procedure and susceptible to human error. In order to better understand this human error, a study is conducted in which ionograms from vertical sounders are manually scaled by a team of ionospheric researchers. The results of the study are then used to estimate the variability of the hand‐scaled ionospheric parameters foF2 and foE. Those results are then used to estimate the downstream impact on ionospheric models that use foF2 and foE as input. The results demonstrate that there can be large variability in the manual scaling of foF2 and fmaxE from vertical incidence ionograms. However, the participants did typically better than 5% uncertainty for benign ionograms. A long‐term analysis of hmF2 modeling exhibits low sensitivity to statistical errors imposed on foF2 and foE, but a short‐term analysis showed that modeled hmF2, neutral winds, and electron densities can be very different when small adjustments are made to foF2 and fmaxE.
机译:基于地基雷达探针通过使用电离层峰值电子密度(NMF2)的测量来表征地球高层大气的动态和化学物质及其相关的高度(HMF2)。离电离层的E和F区域的连续测绘观察已经定期在全世界以来的数十个站点进行。深入了解短期和长期的上大气变异性取决于对这些观察数据的基本理解。历史模拟(预测时期)离子图的手动分析来得出血浆频率谱和电离层参数HMF2和NMF2是一种繁琐的过程,易受人为误差的影响。为了更好地理解这种人体错误,进行了一项研究,其中垂直探针的离子图被电离层的研究人员手动缩放。然后使用该研究的结果来估计手工缩放电离层参数FOF2和敌人的可变性。然后使用那些结果来估计对使用FOF2和FOE作为输入的电离层模型的下游撞击。结果表明,来自垂直入射离子图的FOF2和FMAXE的手动缩放可以存在大的变化。然而,参与者通常比良性离子图更优于5%的不确定性。 HMF2造型的长期分析表现出对FOF2和敌人施加的统计误差的敏感性,但是短期分析显示,当对FOF2和FMAXE进行微小的调节时,模型HMF2,中性风和电子密度可以非常不同。

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