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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Swarm Intelligence and Evolutionary Computation >Short-Term Forecasting of Load and Renewable Energy Using Artificial Neural Network
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Short-Term Forecasting of Load and Renewable Energy Using Artificial Neural Network

机译:使用人工神经网络的载荷和可再生能源的短期预测

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Load forecasting is a technique used for the prediction of electrical load demands in battery management. In general, the aggregated level used for Short-Term Electrical Load Forecasting (STLF) consists of either numerical or non-numerical information collected from multiple sources, which helps in obtaining accurate data and efficient forecasting. However, the aggregated level cannot precisely forecast the validation and testing phases of numerical data, including the real-time measurements of irradiance level (W/m2 ) and photovoltaic output power (W). Forecasting is also a challenge due to the fluctuations caused by the random usage of appliances in the existing weekly, diurnal, and annual cycle load data. In this study, we have overcome this challenge by using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) methods such as Bayesian Regularization (BR) and Levenberg–Marquardt (LM) algorithms. The STLF achieved by ANN-based methods can improve the forecast accuracy. The overall performance of the BR and LM algorithms were analyzed during the development phases of the ANN. The input layer, hidden layer and output layer used to train and test the ANN together predict the 24-hour electricity demand. The results show that utilizing the LM and BR algorithms delivers a highly efficient architecture for renewable power estimation demand.
机译:负载预测是一种用于预测电池管理中电负载需求的技术。通常,用于短期电负载预测(STLF)的聚合水平包括从多个来源收集的数值或非数值信息,这有助于获得准确的数据和有效的预测。然而,聚合水平无法精确地预测数值数据的验证和测试阶段,包括辐照度水平(W / M2)和光伏输出功率(W)的实时测量。由于现有每周,日元和年度周期载荷数据随机使用随机使用导致的波动,预测也是一个挑战。在这项研究中,我们通过使用人工神经网络(ANN)方法(如贝叶斯正则化(BR)和Levenberg-Marquardt(LM)算法)来克服这一挑战。通过基于ANN的方法实现的STLF可以提高预测的准确性。在ANN的开发阶段分析了BR和LM算法的整体性能。用于培训和测试ANN的输入层,隐藏层和输出层一起预测24小时电力需求。结果表明,利用LM和BR算法提供高效的架构,可用于可再生功率估计需求。

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