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A Hazardous chemical accident analysis in Iran: A statistical investigation

机译:伊朗有危险化学意外分析:统计调查

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Hazardous chemical accidents have increased in the previous decade in Iran. The analyses of such these accidents helps inform accident prevention in the future. This study aims to characterize and analyze the chemical accidents occurring in Iran during the period of 2018-2020. This cross-sectional study was conducted in 2020. Data were obtained from the registered chemical accidents checklists in the inspection database at Ministry of Health. Descriptive analyses were applied to characterize the hazardous chemical accidents based on time, place, death, injuries, type, and cause of injury. Odds ratio and Chi de test assessed how the main variables under study were associated with the occurrence of hazardous chemical accidents. SPSS version 26 was used for data analysis with the analysis results evaluated at the significance level of 0.05. Analytical tests of Chi-square test and Chi-square test by means of Monte Carlo simulations were used to investigate the relationship between the main variables studied and the occurrence of chemical accidents. The results showed that more than half of these chemical accidents occurred in basic chemical installations and manufactures. Among the direct causes of assessed chemical accidents, 45% were related to equipment/utilities failure. Providing safety data sheet for chemicals, chemical labeling, and emergency response plan as the main components of chemical safety management program were significantly related to occurrence of chemical accident in chemical enterprises (P-value=0.01). In spite of implementation of chemical safety management program since 2015 in Iran and routine inspection by chemical enterprises, the trend of hazardous chemical accidents is increasing. The economically developed provinces particularly, medium and small sized chemical enterprises, need more official rules and strict supervisions in order to prevent accidents and mitigate the harmful consequences.
机译:危险的化学事故在伊朗前十年增加了。这些事故的分析有助于将来提供事故预防。本研究旨在在2018 - 2012年期间的表征和分析伊朗发生的化学事故。这种横截面研究于2020年进行。从卫生部检查数据库中的注册化学意外清单获得数据。应用描述性分析以表征基于时间,地,死亡,损伤,类型和伤害原因的危险化学意外。赔率比和Chi De试验评估了如何研究的主要变量与危险化学事故的发生有关。 SPSS版本26用于数据分析,分析结果以0.05的显着性水平评估。通过Monte Carlo模拟来研究Chi-Square测试和Chi-Square测试的分析测试来研究所研究的主要变量与化学事故发生的关系。结果表明,这些化学意外的一半以上发生了基本化学装置和制造商。在评估的化学事故的直接原因中,45%与设备/公用事业失败有关。为化学品,化学标签和应急响应计划提供安全数据表作为化学安全管理计划的主要组成部分与化学企业的化学事故发生显着相关(P值= 0.01)。尽管自2015年以来实施了化学品安全管理计划,但通过化工企业的常规检查,危险化学事故的趋势正在增加。经济开发的省份特别是中小型化工企业,需要更多的官方规则和严格的监督,以防止事故和减轻有害后果。

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