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首页> 外文期刊>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions >Atmospheric teleconnection processes linking winter air stagnation and haze extremes in China with regional Arctic sea ice decline
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Atmospheric teleconnection processes linking winter air stagnation and haze extremes in China with regional Arctic sea ice decline

机译:与地区北极海冰衰落的中国冬季空气停滞和阴霾极端的大气拨连接过程

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Recent studies suggested significant impacts of boreal cryosphere changes on wintertime air stagnation and haze pollution extremes in China. However, the underlying mechanisms of such a teleconnection relationship remains unclear. Here we use the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM) to investigate dynamic processes leading to atmospheric circulation and air stagnation responses to Arctic sea ice changes. We conduct four climate sensitivity experiments by perturbing sea ice concentrations (SIC) and corresponding sea surface temperature (SST) in autumn and early winter over the whole Arctic and three subregions in the climate model. The results indicate distinct responses in circulation patterns and regional ventilation to the region-specific Arctic changes, with the largest increase of both the probability (by 132%) and the intensity (by 30%) of monthly air stagnation extremes being found in the experiment driven by SIC and SST changes over the Pacific sector of the Arctic (the East Siberian and Chukchi seas). The increased air stagnation extremes are mainly driven by an amplified planetary-scale atmospheric teleconnection pattern that resembles the negative phase of the Eurasian (EU) pattern. Dynamical diagnostics suggest that convergence of transient eddy forcing in the vicinity of Scandinavia in winter is largely responsible for the amplification of the teleconnection pattern. Transient eddy vorticity fluxes dominate the transient eddy forcing and produce a barotropic anticyclonic anomaly near Scandinavia and wave train propagation across Eurasia to the downstream regions in East Asia. The piecewise potential vorticity inversion analysis reveals that this long-range atmospheric teleconnection of Arctic origin takes place primarily via the middle and upper troposphere. The anomalous ridge over East Asia in the middle and upper troposphere worsens regional ventilation conditions by weakening monsoon northwesterlies and enhancing temperature inversions near the surface, leading to more and stronger air stagnation and pollution extremes over eastern China in winter. Ensemble projections based on state-of-the-art climate models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) corroborate this teleconnection relationship between high-latitude environmental changes and midlatitude weather extremes, though the tendency and magnitude vary considerably among each participating model.
机译:最近的研究表明,北方冰冻圈变化对中国冬季空气停滞和阴霾污染极值的显着影响。然而,这种电信连接关系的潜在机制仍然不清楚。在这里,我们使用整个大气社区气候模型(WACCM)来调查导致大气循环的动态流程和对北极海冰的空气停滞反应。在整个北极和气候模型中的三个次区域中,通过在秋季和初冬季扰动海冰浓度(SIC)和相应的海面温度(SST)进行四种气候敏感实验。结果表明循环模式和区域通气对地区特异性北极变化的不同反应,最大的概率增加(132%),在实验中发现每月空气停滞极端的强度(30%)由北极(东西伯利亚和Chukchi海洋)的太平洋地区的SIC和SST改变而受到驱使。增加的空气停滞极端主要由扩大的行星级大气拨连接模式驱动,其类似于欧亚(欧盟)模式的负阶段。动态诊断表明,在冬季斯堪的纳维亚附近的瞬态涡流迫使融合的收敛性很大程度上负责扩增遥控模式。瞬态涡流助势占据瞬态涡流强迫,并在斯堪的纳维亚附近的波奇植物反气旋异常和欧亚亚洲的波动火车繁殖到东亚的下游地区。分段潜在的涡流反演分析表明,北极来源的这种远程大气电信连接主要通过中上层和上层进行。通过摩苏州北伯利斯疲软和靠近地面的温度反转,对东亚和上层亚洲的异常脊恶化了区域通风条件,导致冬季东部地区的越来越强的空气停滞和污染极端。基于耦合模型的最先进的气候模型的集合投影在耦合模型中互相项目阶段6(CMIP6)证实了高纬度环境变化与中间天气极端之间的电连接关系,尽管每个参与模型之间的趋势和幅度变化很大。 。

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