The Impact of International Logistics to International Trade Research Based on an Empirical Analysis of the Data in 1995-2014 in Shandong Province

摘要

By using time series model, this paper uses the data of Shandong province GDP, total value of import and export, the port cargo throughput and traffic volume from 1995 to 2014 in Shandong province, and empirical research on Shandong international logistics and international trade relations is based on the co- integration theory and Granger Causality Test. The empirical results show that the relationship has been long- term stable co-integration, and the one-way causation is between the port cargo throughput, traffic volume and the total amount of import and export, and deduced guiding mechanism of international logistics to international trade. So government ought to pay attention to strengthen international logistics influence to international trade, and complete open trade policy, strengthen the logistics personnel training, increase the intensity of port infrastructure construction, accelerate the process of bonded area logistics system.