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Identifying Which of J Independent Binomial Distributions Has the Largest Probability of Success

机译:识别哪个J独立二项份分布具有最大的成功概率

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Let p_1,..., p_J denote the probability of a success for J independent random variables having a binomial distribution and let p_(1) ... p_(J) denote these probabilities written in ascending order. The goal is to make a decision about which group has the largest probability of a success, p_(J). Let p_1,..., p_J denote estimates of p_1,...,p_J, respectively. The strategy is to test J - 1 hypotheses comparing the group with the largest estimate to each of the J - 1 remaining groups. For each of these J - 1 hypotheses that are rejected, decide that the group corresponding to the largest estimate has the larger probability of success. This approach has a power advantage over simply performing all pairwise comparisons. However, the more obvious methods for controlling the probability of one more Type I errors perform poorly for the situation at hand. A method for dealing with this is described and illustrated.
机译:让P_1,...,P_J表示具有二项份分布的J独立随机变量的成功的概率,并设有P_(1)... p_(j)表示按升序编写的这些概率。目标是决定哪个组的成功概率P_(j)。让P_1,...,P_J分别表示P_1,...,P_J的估计。该策略是测试J - 1假设,将该组与最大估计的组进行比较,每个J-1剩余群体都有。对于拒绝的这些J-1假设中的每一个,决定与最大估计相对应的组具有较大的成功概率。这种方法在简单地执行所有成对比较方面具有功率优势。然而,用于控制一种更常见的概率的更明显的方法对于手而言,对于手头的情况来说表现不佳。描述和说明了一种处理此方法的方法。

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