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Threat Assessment: Do Lone Terrorists Differ from Other Lone Offenders?

机译:威胁评估:孤独恐怖分子是否与其他孤独犯罪者不同?

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This study evaluates the viability of a threat assessment model developed to calculate the risk of targeted violence as a predictor of violence by potential lone terrorists. There is no profile, to date, which would assist in the identification of a lone terrorist prior to an attack. The threat assessment model developed by Borum, Fein, Vossekuil, and Berglund and described in a€?Threat Assessment: Defining an approach for evaluating risk of targeted violencea€? (1999) poses ten questions about the patterns of thinking and behaviors that may precipitate an attack of targeted violence. Three terrorists are studied to assess the modela€?s value as a predictor of terrorism. It is assessed for its use within law enforcement, during an investigation of someone brought to attention as a possible terrorist and for family members or friends who suspect potential terrorist behavior. Would these questions encourage someone to report a friend to prevent a possible attack? This threat assessment model provides a foundation for future research focused on developing a structured risk assessment for lone terrorists. In its present form, the questions can assist both citizens and law enforcement personnel in identifying the patterns of thought and behavior potentially indicative of a lone terrorist.
机译:这项研究评估了一种威胁评估模型的可行性,该模型旨在计算目标暴力作为潜在的单独恐怖分子的暴力预报因素的风险。迄今为止,还没有任何资料可以帮助在袭击之前确定一名孤独的恐怖分子。由Borum,Fein,Vossekuil和Berglund开发的威胁评估模型,并在“威胁评估:定义评估目标暴力风险的方法”中进行了描述。 (1999)提出了十个关于思维和行为模式的问题,这些思维模式和行为模式可能引发针对性暴力的袭击。对三个恐怖分子进行了研究,以评估该模型作为恐怖主义预测因素的价值。在对执法人员进行调查期间,对可能引起恐怖分子注意的某人进行调查以及对怀疑有潜在恐怖行为的家人或朋友进行调查时,都要对其进行评估。这些问题是否会鼓励某人举报朋友以防止可能的攻击?这种威胁评估模型为将来的研究奠定了基础,该研究的重点是为孤独的恐怖分子开发结构化的风险评估。以目前的形式,这些问题可以帮助公民和执法人员识别可能表明一个孤独的恐怖分子的思想和行为方式。

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