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Money Supply and Velocity of Money in Nigeria: A Test of Polak Model

机译:尼日利亚的货币供给和货币流通速度:波拉克模型的检验

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The study provides an empirical test of the Polak model using annual time series data from Nigeria for a sampling period of 1985 to 2011. The Johansen and Jesulius multivariate cointegration procedures are particularly employed to investigate the long-run relationship between money supply and other selected macro-economic variables; our findings show convincing evidence in support of long-run equilibrium relationship existing in these variables. Also, the Granger Causality Test is employed to examine the causality between money and the selected macroeconomic variables; in all, the findings reveal bidirectional causality between money and core macro-economic variables such as national income, net foreign domestic credit and export in Nigeria. The study also finds that the marginal propensity to import is 20 percent, while the marginal velocity of money in circulation is very high almost approaching 300 percent suggesting that the Nigerian economy is inflationary.
机译:该研究使用尼日利亚从1985年到2011年的采样时间序列的年度时间序列数据对波兰克模型进行了实证检验。Johansen和Jesulius多元协整过程特别用于研究货币供应量与其他选定宏观模型之间的长期关系。 -经济变量;我们的发现显示出令人信服的证据来支持这些变量中存在的长期均衡关系。同样,格兰杰因果关系检验用于检验货币与选定的宏观经济变量之间的因果关系。总之,调查结果揭示了货币与核心宏观经济变量(如国民收入,净外国国内信贷和尼日利亚的出口)之间的双向因果关系。研究还发现,边际进口倾向为20%,而货币的边际流通速度非常高,几乎接近300%,这表明尼日利亚经济处于通货膨胀状态。

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