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Understanding the Two Components of Risk Attitudes: An Experimental Analysis

机译:了解风险态度的两个组成部分:实验分析

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Cumulative Prospect Theory (PT) introduced the weighting of probabilities as an additional component to capture risk attitudes. However, this addition would be a less signi?cant challenge to expected utility theory (EU) if utility curvature and probability weighting showed strong positive correlation. In that case the utility curvature in EU alone, while not properly describing risky behavior in general, would still capture most of the variance of individual risk aversion. This study provides experimental evidence that such a strong and positive correlation does not exist. Although most individuals exhibit concave utility and convex probability weighting, the two components show no strong positive correlation.
机译:累积预期理论(PT)引入了概率权重作为捕获风险态度的附加组件。但是,如果效用曲率和概率权重显示出很强的正相关性,那么这一增加对预期效用理论(EU)的挑战就不会那么重要。在那种情况下,仅在欧盟,效用曲率虽然不能正确地概括地描述风险行为,但仍然可以捕捉到个体风险规避的大部分差异。这项研究提供了实验证据,表明不存在这种强而正相关的关系。尽管大多数人都表现出凹效用和凸概率加权,但这两个分量之间却没有显示出很强的正相关性。

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