Interval Multi-Attribute Decision of Watershed Ecological Compensation Schemes Based on Projection Pursuit Cluster

摘要

The ecological compensation scheme of water pollution in the basin is a result of the interplay between upstream and downstream cities, which is of great significance to the guidance of regional economic development. The purpose of this paper is to propose a multi-attribute scheme decision algorithm, which is expressed in the form of interval number, to reduce the uncertainty of decision results and improve the reliability of decision results. This method first uses the Monte Carlo simulation technique to produce a large number of random samples in the various attributes of the decision matrix to construct the random decision-making matrix (DMM). Then, according to the overall dispersion and local concentration of the random DMM, the clustering method of the projection pursuit is adopted. By accelerating the genetic algorithm, the weight and the best projection eigenvalues of each scheme are optimized, and the sorting results of the decision-making cases are obtained based on the projected eigenvalues. The results of the case study show that the uncertainty of the decision results is greater when the number of random simulations is very low; as the number of random simulations increases, the result of the decision becomes more and more stable and clear, and the uncertainty decreases. The results of the Duncan test show that, scheme 2, which is composed of financial compensation and remote development, is better than other schemes, and the decision making is more reasonable. The result of this decision has certain values for the ecological compensation scheme in Suzhou and Jiaxing cities, and the proposed method can be applied in similar range multi-attribute scheme decision-making issues.