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Assessment of FAO AquaCrop Model for Simulating Maize Growth and Productivity under Deficit Irrigation in a Tropical Environment

机译:评估热带环境下干旱灌溉下模拟玉米生长和生产力的粮农组织AquaCrop模型的评估

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Crop simulation models have a pivotal role to play in evaluating irrigation management strategies for improving agricultural water use. The objective of this study was to test and validate the AquaCrop model for maize under deficit irrigation management. Field observations from three experiments consisting of four treatments were used to evaluate model performance in simulating canopy cover ( CC ), biomass ( B ), yield ( Y ), crop evapotranspiration ( ET c ), and water use efficiency ( WUE ). Statistics for root mean square error, model efficiency ( E ), and index of agreement for B and CC suggest that the model prediction is good under non-stressed and moderate stress environments. Prediction of final B and Y under these conditions was acceptable, as indicated by the high coefficient of determination and deviations 11% for B and 9% for Y indicate a reduction in the model reliability. Simulated ET c and WUE deviation from observed values were within the range of 9.5% to 22.2% and 6.0% to 32.2%, respectively, suggesting that AquaCrop prediction of these variables is fair, becoming unsatisfactory as plant water stress intensifies. AquaCrop can be reliably used for evaluating the effectiveness of proposed irrigation management strategies for maize; however, the limitations should be kept in mind when interpreting the results in severely stressed conditions.
机译:作物模拟模型在评估灌溉管理策略以改善农业用水方面可发挥关键作用。这项研究的目的是测试和验证缺水灌溉下玉米的AquaCrop模型。通过对三个试验(包括四个处理)的实地观察来评估模型在模拟冠层覆盖(CC),生物量(B),产量(Y),作物蒸散量(ET c)和水分利用效率(WUE)方面的性能。均方根误差,模型效率(E)以及B和CC的一致性指标的统计数据表明,在无应力和中等应力环境下​​,模型预测效果良好。在这些条件下对最终B和Y的预测是可以接受的,这由高确定系数表示,B的11%和Y的9%的偏差表明模型的可靠性降低。模拟的ET c和WUE与观测值的偏差分别在9.5%至22.2%和6.0%至32.2%的范围内,这表明AquaCrop对这些变量的预测是合理的,随着植物水分胁迫的加剧,其效果将不令人满意。 AquaCrop可以可靠地用于评估玉米灌溉管理策略的有效性;但是,在压力很大的情况下解释结果时应牢记限制。

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