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Industry Dynamics in Pharmaceuticals

机译:制药行业动态

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Pharmaceuticals is a relatively large and mature industry, and of growing significance. The industry has stimulated extensive research on determinants of its growth and development. Specifically, the distribution of firm size has attracted significant attention, due to tis relevance as an indicator of degree of industrial concentration. A large part of this literature has focused, since the early contributions, on the explanation of the shape of firm size distribution in the industry at a given point in time by reference to steady state arguments. The dynamics in question have been relatively neglected however. The main objective of this paper is to help fill this gap. It is shown that interesting issues arise when one considers how firm structure evolves over time, rather than simply attending to equilibrium implications of processes. Information on the shape and time-evolution of the size distribution of firms over an extended period of time can be used to make inferences about an underlying process; specifically, on which characteristics lead to which kinds of dynamics. To that end, we propose a diffusion model to examine the spatial dynamics of firm size. Instead of assuming a steady state as is standard practice, we consider that firm size fluctuates around its long run stationary equilibrium, according to a double process of temporal drift and random disturbance. An empirical application to real data from the Pharmaceutical industry helps fill a second gap in the literature, as only a few diffusion studies have employed real statistical data when analyzing firm size dynamics. Our empirical application confirms results presented elsewhere and offers some new insights.
机译:制药业是一个相对较大且成熟的行业,并且具有越来越重要的意义。该行业刺激了对其增长和发展的决定因素的广泛研究。具体而言,由于tis相关性是工业集中度的指标,因此企业规模的分布引起了广泛的关注。自从早期的贡献以来,该文献的很大一部分就集中于通过参考稳态论证来解释给定时间点行业中企业规模分布的形状。然而,所讨论的动态已经相对被忽略了。本文的主要目的是帮助填补这一空白。结果表明,当人们考虑企业结构如何随着时间演变而不仅仅是考虑过程的均衡影响时,就会出现有趣的问题。有关企业在较长时期内规模分布的形状和时间演变的信息可用于推断基本过程;具体来说,哪些特征导致哪种动力学。为此,我们提出了一个扩散模型来研究企业规模的空间动态。我们没有按照标准惯例假定稳态,而是根据时间漂移和随机扰动的双重过程,认为企业规模围绕其长期的静态平衡而波动。对制药业真实数据的经验应用有助于填补文献中的第二个空白,因为在分析公司规模动态时,只有很少的扩散研究采用了真实的统计数据。我们的经验应用证实了其他地方提出的结果,并提供了一些新见解。

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