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Maximum smoothed likelihood estimation for a class of semiparametric Pareto mixture densities

机译:一类半参数帕累托混合密度的最大平滑似然估计

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Motivated by an analysis of Return On Equity (ROE) data, we propose a class of semiparametric mixture models. The proposed models have a symmetric nonparametric component and a parametric component of Pareto distribution with unknown parameters. However, situations with general parametric components other than Pareto distribution are also investigated. We prove that these mixture models are identifiable, and establish a novel estimation procedure via smoothed likelihood and profile-likelihood techniques. For ease of computation, we develop a new EM algorithm to facilitate the maximization problem. We show that this EM algorithm possesses the ascent property. A rule-of-thumb based procedure is proposed to select the bandwidth of the nonparametric component. Simulation studies demonstrate good performance of the proposed methodology. Furthermore, we analyze the ROE dataset which may consist of real and manipulated earnings. Our analysis reveals significant earning manipulation in the Chinese listed companies from a quantitative perspective using the proposed model.
机译:根据对股本回报率(ROE)数据的分析,我们提出了一类半参数混合模型。所提出的模型具有参数未知的对称非参数分量和帕累托分布的参数分量。但是,还研究了具有除Pareto分布以外的一般参数分量的情况。我们证明这些混合模型是可识别的,并通过平滑似然和轮廓似然技术建立了一种新颖的估计程序。为了便于计算,我们开发了一种新的EM算法来简化最大化问题。我们证明了该EM算法具有上升特性。提出了一种基于经验法则的方法来选择非参数分量的带宽。仿真研究证明了所提出方法的良好性能。此外,我们分析了ROE数据集,该数据集可能包含实际收益和经操纵收益。我们的分析显示,从拟定模型的定量角度看,中国上市公司的重大收益操纵。

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