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The Non-Linear Relationship Between Fiscal Deficits And Inflation: Evidence From Africa

机译:财政赤字与通货膨胀之间的非线性关系:来自非洲的证据

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Although, there is abundant research on the fiscal deficit-inflation relationship, little has been done to investigate the non-linear association between them, particularly in Africa. This study employs fixed-effects and GMM estimators to examine the non-linear relationship between deficits and inflation from 1999 to 2011 in 51 African economies, which are further grouped into high-inflation/low-income countries and moderate-inflation/middle-income countries. The results indicate that the deficit-inflation relationship is non-linear for the whole sample and sub-groups. For the whole sample, a percentage point increase in deficit results in a 0.25 percentage point increase in inflation rate, while the relationship becomes quantitatively greater once deficits reach 23% of GDP. The subsamples report different relationships. Although our results cannot be used as the base for generalization, we identify importance of grouping African countries according to their levels of inflation and/or income, rather than treating them as a homogeneous entity.
机译:尽管关于财政赤字与通货膨胀关系的研究很多,但很少研究它们之间的非线性联系,特别是在非洲。这项研究采用固定效应和GMM估计量来检验1999年至2011年非洲51个经济体中赤字与通胀之间的非线性关系,这些非洲经济体进一步分为高通胀/低收入国家和中等通胀/中等收入国家国家。结果表明,赤字-通货膨胀关系对于整个样本和子组都是非线性的。对于整个样本,赤字增加一个百分点会导致通货膨胀率增加0.25个百分点,而当赤字达到GDP的23%时,这种关系在数量上会更大。子样本报告了不同的关系。尽管我们的结果不能用作概括的基础,但我们确定了根据非洲国家的通货膨胀和/或收入水平对其进行分组的重要性,而不是将它们视为同质实体。

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