The Application of Grey System Model in AIDS Prevention and Control in Yunnan Province of China

摘要

Yunnan province is one of the most serious regions of HIV/AIDS epidemic in China. By October 31, 2015, total 29652 AIDS patients, 23316 deaths. Using the gray system model to predict the HIV/AIDS epidemic situation is a beneficial attempt. We can apply mathematical model in the study of this epidemic, managing to find its regularity and to predict its trend. Through the analysis of HIV/AIDS epidemic, we can lay a solid foundation for further research and work on AIDS prevention and control, and provide a reference basis for prevention strategies and countermeasures.