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An Empirical Study on the Pass-Through Effect of RMB Nominal Effective Exchange Rate on Import Price

机译:人民币名义有效汇率对进口价格的传递效应的实证研究

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Starting from ERPT model, the paper decomposes RMB nominal effective exchange rate published in BIS into level and volatility, and analyzes the pass-through effects of RMB nominal effective exchange rate into import price from level and volatility under GARCH model. The conclusions are that, the pass-through effect of RMB nominal effective exchange rate to the level of import price is not complete, and the volatility of RMB nominal effective exchange rate has a negative impact on the volatility of import price and also has a time lag. Error correction mechanism shows that it needs about 8 months for import price to return to a balanced level after the changes of exchange rate.
机译:本文从ERPT模型出发,将国际清算银行公布的人民币名义有效汇率分解为水平和波动性,在GARCH模型下,将人民币名义有效汇率从水平和波动性的传递效应转化为进口价格。结论是,人民币名义有效汇率对进口价格水平的传递作用不完全,人民币名义有效汇率的波动对进口价格的波动具有负面影响,并且具有一定的时间性。落后。纠错机制表明,汇率变动后,进口价格恢复平衡需要大约8个月的时间。

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