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Mathematical modeling of complex contagion on clustered networks

机译:集群网络中复杂传染的数学建模

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The spreading of behavior, such as the adoption of a new innovation, is influenced bythe structure of social networks that interconnect the population. In the experiments of Centola (Science, 2010), adoption of new behavior was shown to spread further and faster across clustered-lattice networks than across corresponding random networks. This implies that the a??complex contagiona?? effects of social reinforcement are important in such diffusion, in contrast to a??simplea?? contagion models of disease-spread which predict that epidemics would grow more efficiently on random networks than on clustered networks. To accurately model complex contagion on clustered networks remains a challenge because the usual assumptions (e.g. of mean-field theory) regarding tree-like networks are invalidated by the presence of triangles in the network; the triangles are, however, crucial to the social reinforcement mechanism, which posits an increased probability of a person adopting behavior that has been adopted by two or more neighbors. In this paper we modify the analytical approach that was introduced by Hebert-Dufresne et al. (Phys. Rev. E, 2010), to study disease-spread on clustered networks. We show how the approximation method can be adapted to a complex contagion model, and confirm the accuracy of the method with numerical simulations. The analytical results of the model enable us to quantify the level of social reinforcement that is required to observea??as in Centolaa??s experimentsa??faster diffusion on clustered topologies than on random networks.
机译:行为的传播,例如采用新的创新,受到与人口相互联系的社会网络结构的影响。在Centola的实验中(科学,2010年),新行为的采用被证明在簇状网格网络中的传播比在相应的随机网络中传播的速度更快。这意味着“复杂的传染病”?与“简单”相反,社会强化的作用在这种传播中很重要。疾病传播的传染模型预测,流行病在随机网络上的增长将比在聚类网络上更为有效。在聚类网络上准确地对复杂的传染进行建模仍然是一个挑战,因为关于树状网络的通常假设(例如均场理论)由于网络中存在三角形而无效;但是,三角形对于社会强化机制至关重要,因为社会强化机制使一个人采取被两个或多个邻居采纳的行为的可能性增加。在本文中,我们修改了Hebert-Dufresne等人介绍的分析方法。 (Phys。Rev. E,2010),以研究疾病在群集网络上的传播。我们展示了近似方法如何适用于复杂的传染模型,并通过数值模拟确认了方法的准确性。该模型的分析结果使我们能够量化观察所需的社会强化水平,就像在Centolaa的实验中那样-在群集拓扑上比在随机网络上更快地扩散。

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