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Import substitution industrialisation and economic growth – Evidence from the group of BRICS countries

机译:进口替代工业化与经济增长–来自金砖国家集团的证据

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Governments in various countries, irrespective of the country?s level of economic growth, seek to initiate macroeconomic policies towards achieving better economic performance in order to advance level of business activities and ultimately, ensure better quality of life for the people. To achieve this, various approaches and interventions are applied in the process, but the outcomes are always different. While some of these policy interventions have culminated in the desired outcomes, quite a few have faltered on the platter of ineptness. This article investigates the importance of import substitution industrialisation (ISI) on the economic performance of the countries in the group of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa). Using data from the World Bank Development Indicators from 1960 to 2016 in econometric estimations, this article argues that ISI policy helped to catalyse the industrialisation process of these five countries, with the effects being more convergent in the short run as shown by the GMM, SGMM and impulse response techniques. It is thus recommended that less developed countries should adopt this form of economic integration and home-grown ISI policy to substitute imports in the short run, and embrace liberalisation as higher level of industrialisation is achieved in the long run.
机译:各个国家的政府,不管该国的经济增长水平如何,都试图制定宏观经济政策以实现更好的经济绩效,从而提高商业活动水平,并最终确保人民的生活质量得到改善。为此,在此过程中采用了各种方法和干预措施,但是结果总是不同的。尽管其中一些政策干预措施最终达到了预期的结果,但仍有很多措施因无能为力而步履蹒跚。本文研究了进口替代工业化(ISI)对金砖国家(巴西,俄罗斯,印度,中国和南非)中国家经济表现的重要性。本文使用1960年至2016年世界银行发展指标的数据进行计量经济学估算,认为ISI政策有助于促进这五个国家的工业化进程,其影响在短期内更加趋同,如GMM,SGMM所示。和冲动反应技术。因此,建议欠发达国家应采取这种形式的经济一体化和ISI本土化的政策,以在短期内替代进口,并在长期内实现更高的工业化水平时接受自由化。

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