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Dimension reduction in multivariate extreme value analysis

机译:多元极值分析中的降维

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Non-parametric assessment of extreme dependence structures between an arbitrary number of variables, though quite well-established in dimension $2$ and recently extended to moderate dimensions such as $5$, still represents a statistical challenge in larger dimensions. Here, we propose a novel approach that combines clustering techniques with angular/spectral measure analysis to find groups of variables (not necessarily disjoint) exhibiting asymptotic dependence, thereby reducing the dimension of the initial problem. A heuristic criterion is proposed to choose the threshold over which it is acceptable to consider observations as extreme and the appropriate number of clusters. When empirically evaluated through numerical experiments, the approach we promote here is found to be very efficient under some regularity constraints, even in dimension $20$. For illustration purpose, we also carry out a case study in dietary risk assessment.
机译:任意数量的变量之间的极端依存结构的非参数评估,尽管在$ 2 $维度中已经很完善,并且最近扩展到了$ 5 $等中等维度,但仍然在较大维度上构成了统计挑战。在这里,我们提出了一种新颖的方法,将聚类技术与角度/频谱量度分析相结合,以找到表现出渐近依赖性的变量组(不一定是不相交的),从而减小了初始问题的范围。建议使用启发式标准来选择阈值,在该阈值上可以将观察视为极端和适当数量的聚类。当通过数值实验进行实证评估时,我们发现这里提出的方法在某些规律性约束下非常有效,即使在维度$ 20 $上也是如此。为了说明目的,我们还在饮食风险评估中进行了案例研究。

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