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Forecasting Budget Estimated Using Time-Series—Case Study on College of Computer Science and Information Technology

机译:时间序列估计的预算预测—以计算机科学与信息技术学院为例

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摘要

The need for information systems in organizations and economic units increases as there is a great deal of data that arise from doing many of the processes in order to be addressed to provide information that can bring interest to multi-users, the new and distinctive management accounting systems which meet in a manner easily all the needs of institutions and individuals from financial business, accounting and management, which take into account the accuracy, speed and confidentiality of the information for which the system is designed. The paper aims to describe a computerized system that is able to predict the budget for the new year based on past budgets by using time series analysis, which gives results with errors to a minimum and controls the budget during the year, through the ability to control exchange, compared to the scheme with the investigator and calculating the deviation, measurement of performance ratio and the expense of a number of indicators relating to budgets, such as the rate of condensation of capital, the growth rate and profitability ratio and gives a clear indication whether these ratios are good or not. There is a positive impact on information systems through this system for its ability to accomplish complex calculations and process paperwork, which is faster than it was previously and there is also a high flexibility, where the system can do any adjustments required in helping relevant parties to control the financial matters of the decision-making appropriate action thereon.
机译:组织和经济部门对信息系统的需求不断增加,因为通过执行许多过程产生了大量数据,以便解决这些问题以提供可引起多用户兴趣的信息,即新颖而独特的管理会计这些系统可以轻松满足机构和个人从金融业务,会计和管理等方面的所有需求,并考虑到系统所设计信息的准确性,速度和机密性。本文旨在描述一种计算机化系统,该系统能够通过使用时间序列分析基于过去的预算来预测新年度的预算,该系统可将误差最小化并通过控制能力来控制年度预算与调查员进行计划交换,并计算偏差,绩效比率的测量以及与预算有关的许多指标的支出,例如资本的集中率,增长率和获利率,并给出明确的指示这些比率是否良好。通过该系统,它可以完成复杂的计算和处理文书工作,从而对信息系统产生积极影响,它比以前更快,并且具有很高的灵活性,该系统可以进行任何必要的调整以帮助相关各方进行调整。控制财务事项,并据此采取适当的行动。

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