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Homogeneity of Monthly Mean Air Temperature of the United Republic of Tanzania with HOMER

机译:基于HOMER的坦桑尼亚联合共和国月平均气温的同质性。

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The long-term climate datasets are widely used in a variety of climate analyses. These datasets, however, have been adversely impacted by inhomogeneities caused by, for example relocations of meteorological station, change of land use cover surrounding the weather stations, substitution of meteorological station, changes of shelters, changes of instrumentation due to its failure or damage, and change of observation hours. If these inhomogeneities are not detected and adjusted properly, the results of climate analyses using these data can be erroneous. In this paper for the first time, monthly mean air temperatures of the United Republic of Tanzania are homogenized by using HOMER software package. This software is one of the most recent homogenization software and exhibited the best results in the comparative analysis performed within the COST Action ES0601 (HOME). Monthly mean minimum (TN) and maximum (TX) air temperatures from 1974 to 2012 were used in the analysis. These datasets were obtained from Tanzania Meteorological Agency (TMA). The analysis reveals a larger number of artificial break points in TX (12 breaks) than TN (5 breaks) time series. The homogenization process was assessed by comparing results obtained with Correlation analysis and Principal Component analysis (PCA) of homogenized and non-homogenized datasets. Mann-Kendal non-parametric test was used to estimate the existence, magnitude and statistical significance of potential trends in the homogenized and non-homogenized time series. Correlation analysis reveals stronger correlation in homogenized TX than TN in relation to non-homogenized time series. Results from PCA suggest that the explained variances of the principal components are higher in homogenized TX than TN in relation to non-homogenized time series. Mann-Kendal non-parametric test reveals that the number of statistical significant trend increases higher with homogenized TX (96%) than TN (67%) in relation to non-homogenized datasets.
机译:长期气候数据集被广泛用于各种气候分析中。但是,这些数据集受到不均匀性的不利影响,这些不均匀性是由于气象站的搬迁,气象站周围土地用途的变化,气象站的更换,避难所的变化,由于其故障或损坏而导致的仪器变化,并更改观察时间。如果未正确检测和调整这些不均匀性,则使用这些数据进行气候分析的结果可能是错误的。本文首次使用HOMER软件包对坦桑尼亚联合共和国的月平均气温进行了均匀化处理。该软件是最新的均质化软件之一,并且在COST Action ES0601(HOME)中执行的比较分析中显示出最佳结果。分析中使用了1974年至2012年的月平均最低(TN)和最高(TX)气温。这些数据集来自坦桑尼亚气象局(TMA)。分析显示,TX(12个中断)比TN(5个中断)时间序列有更多的人工断点。通过比较均质化和非均质化数据集的相关分析和主成分分析(PCA)获得的结果,评估均质化过程。使用Mann-Kendal非参数检验来估计均质和非均质时间序列中潜在趋势的存在,大小和统计显着性。相关分析表明,相对于非均匀时间序列,同质TX比TN具有更强的相关性。 PCA的结果表明,相对于非均质时间序列,均质TX中主成分的解释方差高于TN。曼恩·肯德尔(Mann-Kendal)非参数检验表明,相对于非均匀化数据集,同质TX(96%)的统计显着趋势数增加得比TN(67%)更高。

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