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Statistical Evaluations of Variations in Dairy Cows’ Milk Yields as a Precursor of Earthquakes

机译:作为地震前兆的奶牛产奶量变化的统计评估

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Previous studies have provided quantitative data regarding unusual animal behavior prior to earthquakes; however, few studies include long-term, observational data. Our previous study revealed that the milk yields of dairy cows decreased prior to an extremely large earthquake. To clarify whether the milk yields decrease prior to earthquakes, we examined the relationship between earthquakes of various magnitudes and daily milk yields. The observation period was one year. In the results, cross-correlation analyses revealed a significant negative correlation between earthquake occurrence and milk yields approximately three weeks beforehand. Approximately a week and a half beforehand, a positive correlation was revealed, and the correlation gradually receded to zero as the day of the earthquake approached. Future studies that use data from a longer observation period are needed because this study only considered ten earthquakes and therefore does not have strong statistical power. Additionally, we compared the milk yields with the subionospheric very low frequency/low frequency (VLF/LF) propagation data indicating ionospheric perturbations. The results showed that anomalies of VLF/LF propagation data emerged prior to all of the earthquakes following decreases in milk yields; the milk yields decreased earlier than propagation anomalies. We mention how ultralow frequency magnetic fields are a stimulus that could reduce milk yields. This study suggests that dairy cow milk yields decrease prior to earthquakes, and that they might respond to stimuli emerging earlier than ionospheric perturbations.
机译:先前的研究提供了有关地震前动物异常行为的定量数据。但是,很少有研究包含长期的观察数据。我们之前的研究表明,在发生特大地震之前,奶牛的产奶量下降。为了弄清楚地震前牛奶产量是否下降,我们研究了不同强度的地震与每日牛奶产量之间的关系。观察期为一年。结果表明,互相关分析显示,地震发生与牛奶产量大约在三周前就存在显着负相关。大约一周半前,发现了正相关,随着地震的临近,该相关逐渐降低为零。将来需要使用较长观察期的数据进行研究,因为该研究仅考虑了10次地震,因此没有强大的统计能力。此外,我们将牛奶产量与表明电离层扰动的亚电离层极低频/低频(VLF / LF)传播数据进行了比较。结果表明,随着产奶量的减少,VLF / LF传播数据出现在所有地震之前。牛奶产量比繁殖异常提前下降。我们提到了超低频磁场是如何刺激牛奶产量的。这项研究表明,地震前奶牛的牛奶产量下降,并且它们可能对电离层扰动之前出现的刺激做出反应。

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