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首页> 外文期刊>Advances in Meteorology >Historical Spatiotemporal Trends in Snowfall Extremes over the Canadian Domain of the Great Lakes Basin
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Historical Spatiotemporal Trends in Snowfall Extremes over the Canadian Domain of the Great Lakes Basin

机译:大湖盆地加拿大域降雪量的历史时空趋势

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The Laurentian Great Lakes Basin (GLB) is prone to snowfall events developed from extratropical cyclones or lake-effect processes. Monitoring extreme snowfall trends in response to climate change is essential for sustainability and adaptation studies because climate change could significantly influence variability in precipitation during the 21st century. Many studies investigating snowfall within the GLB have focused on specific case study events with apparent under examinations of regional extreme snowfall trends. The current research explores the historical extremes in snowfall by assessing the intensity, frequency, and duration of snowfall within Ontario’s GLB. Spatiotemporal snowfall and precipitation trends are computed for the 1980 to 2015 period using Daymet (Version 3) monthly gridded interpolated datasets from the Oak Ridge National Laboratory. Results show that extreme snowfall intensity, frequency, and duration have significantly decreased, at the 90% confidence level, more so for the Canadian leeward shores of Lake Superior than that of Lake Huron, for the months of December and January. To help discern the spatiotemporal trends is snowfall extremes, several trend analyses for lake-induced predictor variables were analysed for two cities, Wawa and Wiarton, along the snowbelts of Lakes Superior and Huron, respectively. These variables include monthly maximum and minimum air temperature, maximum wind gust velocity, lake surface temperature, and maximum annual ice cover concentration. Resultant significant increase in December’s maximum and minimum air temperature for the city of Wawa may be a potential reason for the decreased extreme snowfall trends.
机译:劳伦天大湖盆地(GLB)容易发生由温带气旋或湖泊影响过程引起的降雪事件。监测应对气候变化的极端降雪趋势对于可持续性和适应性研究至关重要,因为气候变化可能会严重影响21世纪降水的变化。许多调查GLB内降雪的研究都集中在特定的案例研究事件上,这些事件在检查区域极端降雪趋势的过程中显而易见。当前的研究通过评估安大略省GLB地区降雪的强度,频率和持续时间,探索降雪的历史极端现象。使用橡树岭国家实验室的Daymet(第3版)每月网格插值数据集,计算了1980年至2015年期间的时空降雪和降水趋势。结果表明,在20%的置信度下,极端降雪的强度,频率和持续时间都显着减少,在12月和1月的几个月中,加拿大苏必利尔湖背风海岸的水降落幅度比休伦湖大。为了帮助识别时空趋势是降雪的极端情况,分别对两个城市Wawa和Wiarton沿苏必利尔湖和休伦湖的雪带进行了一些湖泊诱发的预测变量趋势分析。这些变量包括每月最高和最低气温,最大阵风速度,湖面温度以及每年最大冰盖浓度。瓦瓦市12月最高和最低气温的显着提高可能是极端降雪趋势减少的潜在原因。

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