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首页> 外文期刊>British Journal of Applied Science and Technology >A Review of Models for Evaluation of ClimateChange Impact on Water Resources
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A Review of Models for Evaluation of ClimateChange Impact on Water Resources

机译:气候变化对水资源影响评估模型综述

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The use of models to simulate or predict impact of climate change on water resources management is very vital due to continual increase in global warming which invariably affects most important natural resources in the environment. This paper provides an overview of the existing models used for evaluating climate change impact on water resources management. It also compares their relative advantages and drawbacks. It was found that no model can perform satisfactorily the assessment of climate change impact; hence it may be necessary to use one model to compliment the weakness of another. Global Circulation Model (GCM) is not easily accessible in developing countries due to sophistications and processes involved in running it. Moreso, the nature of available data and cost of acquiring it is high. The main advantage of Water Balance (WATBAL) model is that it can model climate change impact in water resources but its major drawback is that it requires many inputs of hydro-meteorological parameters. Regression and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models are readily available and not too expensive. They can model climate change impact on water resources and hydropower operation. However, the drawback is that enormous data are required for ANN model calibration and operation. It is imperative therefore to anticipate and efficiently prepare for future water resources management and suggest necessary measures to mitigate the effect of climate change.
机译:由于全球变暖的持续加剧,而使用模型来模拟或预测气候变化对水资源管理的影响非常重要,因为气候变暖总是影响环境中最重要的自然资源。本文概述了用于评估气候变化对水资源管理影响的现有模型。它还比较了它们的相对优缺点。结果发现,没有任何一个模型能够令人满意地评估气候变化的影响。因此,可能有必要使用一种模型来弥补另一种模型的弱点。由于在运行中涉及的复杂性和流程,在发展中国家不容易获得全球流通模型(GCM)。此外,可用数据的性质和获取数据的成本很高。水平衡模型(WATBAL)的主要优点是可以对水资源中的气候变化影响进行建模,但是其主要缺点是需要输入许多水文气象参数。回归和人工神经网络(ANN)模型很容易获得,而且价格也不昂贵。他们可以模拟气候变化对水资源和水电运营的影响。但是,缺点是ANN模型的校准和操作需要大量数据。因此,必须预测并有效地为未来的水资源管理做准备,并提出必要的措施以减轻气候变化的影响。

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