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Is a costly river restoration project beneficial to the public? Empirical evidence from the Republic of Korea

机译:一项耗资巨大的河流修复工程对公众有利吗?大韩民国的经验证据

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摘要

Public water supply service is to provide certain guaranteed level of quantity and quality in any given circumstances. In this regard, public water supply service treated as public goods that either central or state authority governs for good intentions. Growing concerns about water scarcity in national level due to its vulnerability on climate change lead public to suppress economic burden. In fact, Korean government has had a similar concern bringing to construct 16 weirs in the four major rivers. This construction was launched under the name of green growth mega project in 2008 and consumed almost 17 billion dollars up to today for improving water quality and quantity. In this research, six different models were applied to calculate willingness to pay (WTP) for the future water scarcity. If we allow that the mega project lasts for 30years without any maintenance, the maximum WTP becomes approximately 320 million dollars in 3% discount rate. In addition, if we assume that the Korean economic growth rate becomes much lower than anticipated, the maximum WTP will be about 416 million dollars. None of these numbers is higher than the total construction cost of this mega project under the given conditions.
机译:在任何给定情况下,公共供水服务均应提供一定数量和质量的保证水平。在这方面,公共供水服务被视为中央或州政府出于善意而管理的公共物品。由于其在气候变化方面的脆弱性,国家一级对水资源短缺的担忧日益增加,导致公众抑制了经济负担。实际上,韩国政府也曾提出过类似的担忧,要求在四大河流中建造16个堰。这项工程于2008年以绿色增长巨型项目的名义启动,迄今为止,已花费近170亿美元用于改善水质和水量。在这项研究中,使用了六个不同的模型来计算未来水资源短缺的支付意愿(WTP)。如果我们允许这个大型项目持续30年且无需任何维护,则最大的WTP大约为3.2亿美元,折现率为3%。此外,如果我们假设韩国的经济增长率大大低于预期,那么最高的WTP将约为4.16亿美元。在给定条件下,这些数字都不比这个大型项目的总建筑成本高。

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