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Behavioral Contract Design Under Asymmetric Forecast Information

机译:非对称预测信息下的行为契约设计

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摘要

We investigate the capacity investment decision of a supplier who produces a critical component for a buyer. An incentive conflict is present, because the buyer possesses private forecast information about end customer demand. We use laboratory experiments to test the performance of nonlinear capacity reservation contracts offered by the supplier. We show that both bounded rationality and fairness preferences consistently lead to buyer contract choices that harm supplier performance and overall supply chain performance. We therefore examine several capacity reservation contracts that take into account the buyer's inability to maximize utility (bounded rationality) and/or the buyer's motives (inequity aversion). We find that considering these behavioral aspects in contract design enhances supply chain performance.
机译:我们调查供应商的能力投资决策,该供应商为买方生产了关键组件。由于买方拥有有关最终客户需求的私人预测信息,因此存在激励冲突。我们使用实验室实验来测试供应商提供的非线性容量预留合同的性能。我们表明有限的理性和公平偏好始终会导致损害供应商绩效和整体供应链绩效的买方合同选择。因此,我们研究了几个容量保留合同,这些合同考虑了买方无法最大化效用(有限理性)和/或买方动机(不公平厌恶)。我们发现在合同设计中考虑这些行为方面可以提高供应链绩效。

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