On the second day of an earthquake research meeting in Tokushima, Japan, John Rundle sits in his hotel room, making a phone call through his laptop computer. Although it's only 6:00 a.m. local time, he's long been awake, still anchored in California time. In a few hours, he'll share some of the latest earthquake research from his laboratory at the University of California, Davis, with the conference attendees. His forecast, set to appear in the 1 December 2006 issue of Physical Review Letters, is an eerie one: northern California is likely to experience an earthquake of at least magnitude 6 on the Richter scale in the next 18 months.
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