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Financial Crash, Commodity Prices, And Global Imbalances

机译:金融崩溃,商品价格和全球失衡

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The current financial crisis has its origins in global asset scarcity, which led to large capital flows toward the United States and to the creation of asset bubbles that eventually burst. In its first phase the crash exacerbated the shortage of assets in the world economy, which triggered a partial re-creation of the bubble in commodities markets, and oil markets in particular. This bubble in turn led to an increase in petrodollars seeking financial assets in the United States, which became a source of stability for the U.S. external balance. The second phase of the crisis is more conventional and began to emerge in the summer of 2008, when it became apparent that the financial crisis would permeate the real economy and sharply slow global growth. This slowdown worked to reverse the tight commodity market conditions required for a bubble to develop, ultimately destroying the commodity bubble.
机译:当前的金融危机起因于全球资产稀缺,这导致大量资金流向美国,并导致了资产泡沫的产生并最终破裂。崩溃的第一阶段加剧了世界经济中资产的短缺,从而引发了商品市场尤其是石油市场泡沫的部分重新产生。这种泡沫反过来导致在美国寻求金融资产的石油美元增加,这成为美国外部平衡稳定的来源。危机的第二阶段更为常规,并于2008年夏季开始出现,当时,金融危机显然会渗透到实体经济中,并显着放缓全球增长。这种放缓有助于扭转泡沫形成所需的紧缩商品市场状况,最终摧毁了商品泡沫。

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