Calibration and sensitivity analysis of urban drainage models: MUSIC rainfall/runoff module and a simple stormwater quality model*

摘要

Model calibration and sensitivity analysis of stormwater models are required to assess model performance; it is very unlikely that non-calibrated models will lead to reasonable results. The aim of this paper is to present results of the calibration and sensitivity analysis of the key parameters used inflow modelling by MUSIC and parameters of a simple stormwater quality model. The assessment of the models is undertaken using a Monte Carlo Markov Chain approach. We describe the models' performance, provide information on their sensitivity to parameters and also discuss the correlation between these parameters. This work will help practitioners to understand importance of the MUSIC parameters that they usually use without calibration. The information reported in the results will also help to guide future development of stormwater quality models and the data needed to support it.