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Contextualising the AIDS epidemic in the South Pacific: orthodoxies, estimates and evidence

机译:结合南太平洋艾滋病流行情况:正统学,估计和证据

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摘要

There is a growing consensus that HIV/AIDS is a ‘time bomb’ ticking in the South Pacific. This may, in fact, be the case. However, there are at least two major problems with this approach. First, analysis of the implications of the epidemic is based on supposedly concrete links between the epidemic and social, economic and political outcomes. Many of these apparent links have not been established (because the data is not available for the South Pacific). As such, much of the method for analysing the ramifications of the epidemic is borrowed from elsewhere, notably Africa, and the strength of these links is beginning to unravel. Second, research on the vectors of the epidemic that informs this consensus is only as good as the data that it relies on. There are major testing and surveillance gaps in the South Pacific that mean projections are often based on patchy and incomplete data. This can dramatically skew priorities. Reflecting on these problems is important because of the clear ramifications they pose for the development of good public policy in, and toward, the South Pacific. View full textDownload full textKeywordsAfricanisation, epidemic diseases, governance, HIV/AIDS policy, securitisation, security, South PacificRelated var addthis_config = { ui_cobrand: "Taylor & Francis Online", services_compact: "citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,delicious,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,more", pubid: "ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b" }; Add to shortlist Link Permalink http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10357718.2011.550103
机译:人们越来越普遍地认为,艾滋病毒/艾滋病是南太平洋的一枚“定时炸弹”。实际上可能是这样。但是,这种方法至少存在两个主要问题。首先,对流行病影响的分析是基于流行病与社会,经济和政治结果之间的具体联系。这些明显的联系中有许多尚未建立(因为无法获得南太平洋的数据)。因此,许多分析流行病后果的方法是从其他地方借来的,尤其是从非洲,并且这些联系的力量正在逐渐消失。其次,对有助于达成共识的流行病媒介的研究仅取决于其所依赖的数据。南太平洋地区存在重大的测试和监视差距,这意味着预测通常基于不完整和不完整的数据。这会大大改变优先级。对这些问题进行反思很重要,因为它们对在南太平洋以及朝南太平洋发展良好的公共政策产生了明显的影响。查看全文下载全文关键词农业,流行病,治理,艾滋病毒/艾滋病政策,证券化,安全,南太平洋facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,more“,发布号:” ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b“};添加到候选列表链接永久链接http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10357718.2011.550103

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