A comprehensive analysis of the areal density potential of bit-patterned media recording shows that the recording performance is dominated by written-in errors. The statistical fluctuations of the magnetic properties and the locations of the individual bits lead to error probabilities so that some dots are either not recorded at all or cannot be recorded in the time window necessary to ensure synchronized writing. The highest areal densities are obtained with a combination of a pole head, a soft magnetic underlayer, and a storage medium of the composite type. Areal density scenarios of up to 5 Tbits/in.~2 are analyzed.
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