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Application of fault tree approach for technical assessment of small-sized biogas systems in Nepal

机译:故障树法在尼泊尔小型沼气系统技术评估中的应用

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摘要

Biogas technology is becoming increasingly popular throughout the world, particularly in countries where governments promote domestic biogas systems. Despite its popularity, problems exist in biogas technology, such as low-quality construction, leakage of pipelines, low biogas production, and lack of maintenance. These problems should be identified and analyzed for effective implementation and efficient operation of small-sized biogas systems (SBS). This research applies the fault tree approach (FTA) to identify failures, and evaluate their effects on the operation of SBS from a technical point of view, based on a nationwide field study in Nepal. Ninety-four sets of SBS were selected and sampled in targeted areas. Five subsystems of SBS were defined, including structural components, biogas utilization equipment, piping system, biogas production, and effluent disposal system. Based on the statistical analysis of the 94 targeted cases, the fault probabilities of the five subsystems are 0.67, 0.48, 0.73, 0.26, and 0.64, respectively. The weights of five subsystems are determined by Delphi method and fault probability of SBS is calculated. The results show that faults on piping systems happen most frequently, and that proper disposal and reuse of bio-slurry are often neglected. Regardless of the social and economic benefits of SBS, implementation scenarios of SBS throughout Nepal are evaluated under a technical perspective, as follows: (1) the operational status of SBS is not optimal. (2) Based on criteria for failures, well-operation ratio is about 53% in practice. (3) Skilled masons are prerequisites for efficient functioning of SBS. (4) Maintenance plays a key role for efficient functioning. The study results prove that FTA is mostly suitable for SBS evaluation and is an effective analysis tool for technical evaluation in the field of biogas technology.
机译:沼气技术在世界各地变得越来越受欢迎,尤其是在政府推广家用沼气系统的国家中。尽管沼气技术很受欢迎,但沼气技术仍存在问题,例如建筑质量低,管道泄漏,沼气产量低和缺乏维护。应该识别和分析这些问题,以有效实施和有效运行小型沼气系统(SBS)。这项研究基于尼泊尔的一项全国性实地研究,运用故障树方法(FTA)来识别故障,并从技术角度评估故障对SBS的影响。选择了94套SBS,并在目标区域进行了采样。定义了SBS的五个子系统,包括结构组件,沼气利用设备,管道系统,沼气生产和废水处理系统。根据对94个目标案例的统计分析,五个子系统的故障概率分别为0.67、0.48、0.73、0.26和0.64。通过德尔菲法确定五个子系统的权重,并计算出SBS的故障概率。结果表明,管道系统的故障最常发生,而生物泥浆的正确处置和再利用常常被忽略。不管SBS的社会和经济效益如何,都将从技术角度对整个尼泊尔SBS的实施方案进行评估,具体如下:(1)SBS的运营状况不是最佳的。 (2)根据故障标准,实际作业率约为53%。 (3)熟练的泥瓦匠是SBS有效运行的前提。 (4)维护对于有效运行起着关键作用。研究结果证明,FTA最适合于SBS评估,是沼气技术领域技术评估的有效分析工具。

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