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Macroeconomic Approaches to Identifying the Effects of Health on Output, Growth and Poverty

机译:确定健康对产出,增长和贫困影响的宏观经济方法

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Abstract: Microeconomic studies cannot, by definition, identify general equilibrium economic effects of changes in health. Macroeconomic analysis is needed for this, and the paper reviews three strands in the empirical literature, based respectively on cross-country regression analysis, computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling, and a mixture of microeconomic estimation and macroeconomic simulation. The first two strands have important drawbacks. Cross-country regression is beset with the problem of finding valid instruments. CGE models tend to contain a large number of imposed parameters, making it hard to judge the robustness of simulation results. Mixing micro-estimation with aggregative macro-simulation appears most promising as this methodology allows both drawbacks to be avoided, at least in part.
机译:摘要:根据定义,微观经济学研究无法确定健康变化带来的一般均衡经济影响。为此,需要进行宏观经济分析,并且本文分别基于越野回归分析,可计算一般均衡(CGE)建模以及微观经济估计和宏观经济模拟的混合,回顾了经验文献中的三个方面。前两条线具有重要的缺点。跨国回归问题困扰于寻找有效工具的问题。 CGE模型倾向于包含大量的施加参数,因此很难判断仿真结果的鲁棒性。将微观估计与总体宏观模拟相结合似乎是最有前途的,因为这种方法可以至少部分避免两个缺点。

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