A Hybrid Model through the Fusion of Type-2 Fuzzy Logic Systems and Sensitivity-Based Linear Learning Method for Modeling PVT Properties of Crude Oil Systems

摘要

359429%Sensitivity-based linear learning method (SBLLM) has recently been used as a predictive tool due to its unique characteristics and performance, particularly its high stability and consistency during predictions. However, the generalisation capability of SBLLM is sometimes limited depending on the nature of the dataset, particularly on whether uncertainty is present in the dataset or not. Since it made use of sensitivity analysis in relation to the data sets used, it is surely very prone to being affected by the nature of the dataset. In order to reduce the effects of uncertainties in SBLLM prediction and improve its generalisation ability, this paper proposes a hybrid system through the unique combination of type-2 fuzzy logic systems (type-2 FLSs) and SBLLM; thereafter the hybrid system was used to model PVT properties of crude oil systems. Type-2 FLS has been choosen in order to better handle uncertainties existing in datasets beyond the capability of type-1 fuzzy logic systems. In the proposed hybrid, the type-2 FLS is used to handle uncertainties in reservoir data so that the cleaned data from type-2 FLS is then passed to the SBLLM for training and then final prediction using testing dataset follows. Comparative studies have been carried out to compare the performance of the newly proposed T2-SBLLM hybrid system with each of the constituent type-2 FLS and SBLLM. Empirical results from simulation show that the proposed T2-SBLLM hybrid system has greatly improved upon the performance of SBLLM, while also maintaining a better performance above that of the type-2 FLS.