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OVERTAKING ROAD-ACCIDENTS : DIFFERENCES IN MANOEUVRE AS A FUNCTION OF DRIVER AGE

机译:道路超车事故:机动性与驾驶员年龄的关系

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Nine-hundred and seventy-three police road-accident files describing overtaking accidents were sampled from the headquarters of Nottinghamshire Constabulary, England, for the years 1989 1993. Salient facts were extracted from each case, including the exact manoeuvre involved, the principle explanatory factors, the driver(s) most at fault, and the drivers' ages. Two kinds of reliability measure for case interpretations indicated high levels of consistency. Two induced exposure measures were used, comparing driver involvement in a given type of overtaking accident with involvement in overtaking accidents in general, and comparing the age profiles of the drivers most at fault with those of the other drivers involved. Ten types of overtaking accident were distinguished, and three are discussed in detail : collision with a right-turning vehicle (the most common injury-accident for overtakers), which tends to occur either because a young driver makes a faulty overtaking decision, or an older driver makes a faulty right turn; head-on collision, which affects all age groups roughly in proportion to exposure; and the ‘return-and-lose-control' accident, which is associated particularly with young drivers. The study illustrates the ‘structured judgement method' of accident causation research, in which human interpreters are used to ascribe causes and processes to individual cases, but orthodox research techniques are used to standardise procedures, and to assess and ensure reliability.
机译:1989年至1993年间,从英格兰诺丁汉郡警察局总部采样了793例描述超车事故的警察道路事故档案。从每个案件中提取了明显的事实,包括所涉及的确切动作,主要的解释性因素,最有过失的驾驶员以及驾驶员的年龄。案例解释的两种可靠性度量表明了高度的一致性。使用了两种诱导暴露措施,将驾驶员在给定类型的超车事故中的参与程度与通常在超车事故中的参与程度进行比较,并将最有过失的驾驶员的年龄与其他相关驾驶员的年龄进行比较。区分了十种类型的超车事故,并详细讨论了三种:与向右转弯的车辆发生碰撞(对于超车者最常见的伤害事故),这往往是由于年轻的驾驶员做出错误的超车决定而发生的,或年长的驾驶员向右转弯错误;正面碰撞,这会对所有年龄段的人造成大致相同的影响;以及“返程和失控”事故,这尤其与年轻驾驶员有关。该研究说明了事故因果研究的“结构化判断方法”,其中使用人工解释器将事件的原因和过程归因于个别案例,但是使用正统的研究技术来标准化程序,并评估和确保可靠性。

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