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A Novel Generalized Normal Distribution for Human Longevity and other Negatively Skewed Data

机译:一种新的人类寿命和其他负偏斜数据的广义正态分布

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摘要

Negatively skewed data arise occasionally in statistical practice; perhaps the most familiar example is the distribution of human longevity. Although other generalizations of the normal distribution exist, we demonstrate a new alternative that apparently fits human longevity data better. We propose an alternative approach of a normal distribution whose scale parameter is conditioned on attained age. This approach is consistent with previous findings that longevity conditioned on survival to the modal age behaves like a normal distribution. We derive such a distribution and demonstrate its accuracy in modeling human longevity data from life tables. The new distribution is characterized by 1. An intuitively straightforward genesis; 2. Closed forms for the pdf, cdf, mode, quantile, and hazard functions; and 3. Accessibility to non-statisticians, based on its close relationship to the normal distribution.
机译:统计实践中偶尔会出现负偏斜的数据;也许最熟悉的例子是人类寿命的分布。尽管存在正态分布的其他概括,但我们展示了一种新的替代方法,该替代方法显然更适合人类寿命数据。我们提出了一种正态分布的替代方法,其规模参数取决于所达到的年龄。这种方法与以前的发现一致,即以生存到模态年龄为条件的寿命表现得像正态分布。我们得出这样的分布,并证明其在根据寿命表对人类寿命数据进行建模中的准确性。新发行版的特点是:1.直观直观的起源; 2. pdf,cdf,众数,分位数和危害函数的封闭形式; 3.基于非统计人员与正态分布的密切关系,使其易于使用。

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