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Entrepreneurs Chance and the Deterministic Concentration of Wealth

机译:企业家机会和财富的确定性集中

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摘要

In many economies, wealth is strikingly concentrated. Entrepreneurs–individuals with ownership in for-profit enterprises–comprise a large portion of the wealthiest individuals, and their behavior may help explain patterns in the national distribution of wealth. Entrepreneurs are less diversified and more heavily invested in their own companies than is commonly assumed in economic models. We present an intentionally simplified individual-based model of wealth generation among entrepreneurs to assess the role of chance and determinism in the distribution of wealth. We demonstrate that chance alone, combined with the deterministic effects of compounding returns, can lead to unlimited concentration of wealth, such that the percentage of all wealth owned by a few entrepreneurs eventually approaches 100%. Specifically, concentration of wealth results when the rate of return on investment varies by entrepreneur and by time. This result is robust to inclusion of realities such as differing skill among entrepreneurs. The most likely overall growth rate of the economy decreases as businesses become less diverse, suggesting that high concentrations of wealth may adversely affect a country's economic growth. We show that a tax on large inherited fortunes, applied to a small portion of the most fortunate in the population, can efficiently arrest the concentration of wealth at intermediate levels.
机译:在许多经济体中,财富非常集中。企业家(拥有营利性企业的所有权)构成了最富有的个人的很大一部分,他们的行为可能有助于解释财富在全国范围内的分布格局。与经济模型中通常所假设的相比,企业家在自己的公司中的多元化程度较低,而其投入的资金更多。我们提出了企业家之间有意简化的基于个人的财富生成模型,以评估机会和确定性在财富分配中的作用。我们证明,仅凭机会,再加上复利的确定性影响,就可以导致财富的无限集中,从而使少数企业家拥有的全部财富的百分比最终接近100%。具体来说,当投资回报率随企业家和时间而变化时,就会导致财富集中。该结果对于包括诸如企业家之间不同技能之类的现实是鲁棒的。随着企业多元化程度的降低,最有可能使经济的整体增长率下降,这表明财富的高度集中可能会对一个国家的经济增长产生不利影响。我们表明,对人口中最幸运的一小部分征收大笔的继承财产税,可以有效地阻止财富集中在中等水平。

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