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Sequential experimental design for predator–prey functional response experiments

机译:捕食者 - 猎物功能反应实验的顺序实验设计

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摘要

Understanding functional response within a predator–prey dynamic is a cornerstone for many quantitative ecological studies. Over the past 60 years, the methodology for modelling functional response has gradually transitioned from the classic mechanistic models to more statistically oriented models. To obtain inferences on these statistical models, a substantial number of experiments need to be conducted. The obvious disadvantages of collecting this volume of data include cost, time and the sacrificing of animals. Therefore, optimally designed experiments are useful as they may reduce the total number of experimental runs required to attain the same statistical results. In this paper, we develop the first sequential experimental design method for predator–prey functional response experiments. To make inferences on the parameters in each of the statistical models we consider, we use sequential Monte Carlo, which is computationally efficient and facilitates convenient estimation of important utility functions. It provides coverage of experimental goals including parameter estimation, model discrimination as well as a combination of these. The results of our simulation study illustrate that for predator–prey functional response experiments sequential design outperforms static design for our experimental goals. R code for implementing the methodology is available via https://github.com/haydenmoffat/sequential_design_for_predator_prey_experiments.
机译:了解捕食者 - 猎物动态内的功能响应是许多定量生态研究的基石。在过去的60年中,用于建模功能反应的方法逐渐从经典机制模型转变为更统计导向的模型。为了获得这些统计模型的推论,需要进行大量的实验。收集该数据量的明显缺点包括成本,时间和动物的牺牲。因此,最佳设计的实验是有用的,因为它们可以减少达到相同统计结果所需的实验运行总数。在本文中,我们开发了第一种顺序试验设计方法,用于捕食者 - 猎物功能响应实验。为了在我们考虑的每个统计模型中的参数上进行推断,我们使用顺序蒙特卡罗,这是计算上高效的,便于对重要的实用程序功能的方便估计。它提供了实验目标的覆盖范围,包括参数估计,模型鉴别以及这些的组合。我们的仿真研究结果表明,对于捕食者 - 猎物功能反应实验,顺序设计为我们的实验目标而言静态设计。实现方法的R代码可通过https://github.com/haydenmoffat/sequention_design_for_predator_prey_experiment获得。

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