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Endless Urban Growth? On the Mismatch of Population Household and Urban Land Area Growth and Its Effects on the Urban Debate

机译:城市发展无止境?人口家庭和城市土地面积增长不匹配及其对城市辩论的影响

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摘要

In European cities, the rate of population growth has declined significantly, while the number of households has increased. This increase in the number of households is associated with an increase in space for housing. To date, the effects of both a declining population and decreasing household numbers remain unclear. In this paper, we analyse the relationship between population and household number development in 188 European cities from 1990–2000 and 2000–2006 to the growth of urban land area and per capita living space. Our results support a trend toward decreasing population with simultaneously increasing household number. However, we also found cites facing both a declining population and a decreasing household number. Nevertheless, the urban land area of these “double-declining” cities has continued to spread because the increasing per capita living space counteracts a reduction in land consumption. We conclude that neither a decline in population nor in household number “automatically” solve the global problem of land consumption.
机译:在欧洲城市,人口增长率显着下降,而家庭数量却在增加。家庭数量的增加与住房空间的增加有关。迄今为止,人口减少和家庭人数减少的影响仍然不清楚。在本文中,我们分析了1990-2000年和2000-2006年欧洲188个城市的人口与家庭数量发展之间的关系,以及城市土地面积和人均居住空间的增长。我们的结果支持人口减少同时增加的趋势。但是,我们也发现,人口减少和家庭数量减少都面临着城市问题。然而,由于人均居住空间的增加抵消了土地消耗的减少,这些“双下降”城市的城市土地面积继续扩大。我们得出的结论是,人口减少或家庭人数减少都不会“自动”解决全球土地消耗问题。

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