首页> 美国卫生研究院文献>other >A network-patch methodology for adapting agent-based models for directly transmitted disease to mosquito-borne disease
【2h】

A network-patch methodology for adapting agent-based models for directly transmitted disease to mosquito-borne disease

机译:一种网络补丁方法用于使基于媒介的模型直接传播疾病适应蚊媒疾病

代理获取
本网站仅为用户提供外文OA文献查询和代理获取服务,本网站没有原文。下单后我们将采用程序或人工为您竭诚获取高质量的原文,但由于OA文献来源多样且变更频繁,仍可能出现获取不到、文献不完整或与标题不符等情况,如果获取不到我们将提供退款服务。请知悉。

摘要

Mosquito-borne diseases cause significant public health burden and are widely re-emerging or emerging. Understanding, predicting, and mitigating the spread of mosquito-borne disease in diverse populations and geographies are ongoing modelling challenges. We propose a hybrid network-patch model for the spread of mosquito-borne pathogens that accounts for individual movement through mosquito habitats, extending the capabilities of existing agent-based models (ABMs) to include vector-borne diseases. The ABM are coupled with differential equations representing ‘clouds’ of mosquitoes in patches accounting for mosquito ecology. We adapted an ABM for humans using this method and investigated the importance of heterogeneity in pathogen spread, motivating the utility of models of individual behaviour. We observed that the final epidemic size is greater in patch models with a high risk patch frequently visited than in a homogeneous model. Our hybrid model quantifies the importance of the heterogeneity in the spread of mosquito-borne pathogens, guiding mitigation strategies.
机译:蚊媒疾病给公共卫生造成了沉重负担,并正在广泛重新出现或出现。理解,预测和减轻蚊媒疾病在不同人群和地区的传播是持续的建模挑战。我们为蚊子传播的病原体的传播提出了一种混合网络补丁模型,该模型解释了通过蚊子栖息地的个体运动,从而扩展了现有基于媒介的模型(ABM)的功能,使其包括媒介传播的疾病。 ABM与微分方程相结合,这些微分方程代表了造成蚊子生态的补丁中的蚊子“云”。我们使用这种方法为人类改编了ABM,并研究了异质性在病原体传播中的重要性,从而激发了个体行为模型的实用性。我们观察到,在频繁访问的高风险补丁程序中,最终流行病的规模要比同类模型中的大。我们的混合模型量化了蚊子传播的病原体扩散中异质性的重要性,并指导了缓解策略。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
代理获取

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号