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Allometric Models for Predicting Aboveground Biomass and Carbon Stock of Tropical Perennial C4 Grasses in Hawaii

机译:夏威夷热带多年生C4草地上生物量和碳储量的异速预报模型

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摘要

Biomass is a promising renewable energy option that provides a more environmentally sustainable alternative to fossil resources by reducing the net flux of greenhouse gasses to the atmosphere. Yet, allometric models that allow the prediction of aboveground biomass (AGB), biomass carbon (C) stock non-destructively have not yet been developed for tropical perennial C4 grasses currently under consideration as potential bioenergy feedstock in Hawaii and other subtropical and tropical locations. The objectives of this study were to develop optimal allometric relationships and site-specific models to predict AGB, biomass C stock of napiergrass, energycane, and sugarcane under cultivation practices for renewable energy and validate these site-specific models against independent data sets generated from sites with widely different environments. Several allometric models were developed for each species from data at a low elevation field on the island of Maui, Hawaii. A simple power model with stalk diameter (D) was best related to AGB and biomass C stock for napiergrass, energycane, and sugarcane, (R2 = 0.98, 0.96, and 0.97, respectively). The models were then tested against data collected from independent fields across an environmental gradient. For all crops, the models over-predicted AGB in plants with lower stalk D, but AGB was under-predicted in plants with higher stalk D. The models using stalk D were better for biomass prediction compared to dewlap H (Height from the base cut to most recently exposed leaf dewlap) models, which showed weak validation performance. Although stalk D model performed better, however, the mean square error (MSE)-systematic was ranged from 23 to 43 % of MSE for all crops. A strong relationship between model coefficient and rainfall was existed, although these were irrigated systems; suggesting a simple site-specific coefficient modulator for rainfall to reduce systematic errors in water-limited areas. These allometric equations provide a tool for farmers in the tropics to estimate perennial C4 grass biomass and C stock during decision-making for land management and as an environmental sustainability indicator within a renewable energy system.
机译:生物质是一种有前途的可再生能源选择,它可以通过减少温室气体向大气的净通量来提供化石资源在环境上更具可持续性的替代方案。然而,尚未为目前正在考虑在夏威夷以及其他亚热带和热带地区作为潜在生物能源原料的热带多年生C4草开发能够无损预测地上生物量(AGB),生物量碳(C)储量的异速生长模型。这项研究的目的是开发最佳的异位关系和特定地点的模型,以预测可耕种能源种植实践下的菜籽油,能源藤和甘蔗的AGB,生物量碳储量,并针对特定地点产生的独立数据集验证这些特定地点的模型在各种各样的环境中根据夏威夷毛伊岛低海拔地区的数据,为每种物种开发了几种异位模型。具有茎径(D)的简单功率模型与萘草,能源藤和甘蔗的AGB和生物量C储量关系最好(分别为R 2 = 0.98、0.96和0.97)。然后针对在整个环境梯度中从独立领域收集的数据对模型进行了测试。对于所有农作物,茎D较低的植物模型对AGB的预测均过高,但茎D较高的植物对AGB的预测较差。与露水H相比,使用茎D的模型对生物量的预测效果更好(基切高度到最近暴露的叶子去皮)模型,显示出较弱的验证性能。尽管茎D模型表现更好,但是,所有作物的均方误差(MSE)系统均值是MSE的23%至43%。尽管这些系数是灌溉系统,但模型系数与降雨之间存在很强的关系。提出了一个简单的针对降雨的特定地点系数调制器,以减少缺水地区的系统误差。这些等速方程为热带地区的农民提供了一个工具,可在土地管理决策过程中估算常年C4草的生物量和C量,并作为可再生能源系统中的环境可持续性指标。

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