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Dynamics of the Disrupted 2015–16 Quasi-Biennial Oscillation

机译:2015-16两年期准振荡的动态变化

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摘要

A significant disruption of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) occurred during the Northern Hemisphere (NH) winter of 2015–16. Since the QBO is the major wind variability source in the tropical lower stratosphere and influences the rate of ascent of air entering the stratosphere, understanding the cause of this singular disruption may provide new insights into the variability and sensitivity of the global climate system. Here we examine this disruptive event using global reanalysis winds and temperatures from 1980–2016. Results reveal record maxima in tropical horizontal momentum fluxes and wave forcing of the tropical zonal mean zonal wind over the NH 2015–16 winter. The Rossby waves responsible for these record tropical values appear to originate in the NH and were focused strongly into the tropics at the 40 hPa level. Two additional NH winters, 1987–88 and 2010–11 were also found to have large, tropical lower stratosphere, momentum flux divergences; however, the QBO westerlies did not change to easterlies in those cases.
机译:在2015-16年度的北半球(NH)冬季,准双年度振荡(QBO)发生了重大破坏。由于QBO是热带低平流层的主要风变率源,并且会影响进入平流层的空气上升速度,因此了解这种奇异破坏的原因可能会为全球气候系统的变率和敏感性提供新的见解。在这里,我们使用1980年至2016年的全球再分析风和温度来检查这一破坏性事件。结果显示,在NH 2015-16冬季,热带水平动量通量和热带纬向平均纬向风的波浪强迫达到了创纪录的最大值。造成这些记录的热带值的罗斯比波似乎起源于新罕布什尔州,并在40 hPa高度强烈地集中在热带地区。还发现另外两个1987-88年和2010-11年的NH冬季有较大的热带低平流层,动量通量发散。但是,在这种情况下,QBO西风并没有改变为东风。

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