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Storm surge variation along the coast of the Bohai Sea

机译:渤海沿岸风暴潮变化

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摘要

The present study mainly investigates the storm surge variations at different temporal scales using hourly tide gauge data in the Bohai Sea. The seasonal variation, inter-decadal variation, long-term trend and the tide-surge interaction were analyzed separately. The results show that the storm surges in the southwest Bohai Sea are larger than those in the north. The storm surges were more serious in winter (Oct. to Mar.) than in summer half of the year. Significant inter-decadal variations exist in the Bohai Sea, and the extreme storm surge events have been intensifying since 2010. Storm surge intensities at three of the tide gauges (Qinhuangdao, Huludao and Tanggu) exhibited a decreasing trend from 1980 to 2016, with trends significant at the 95% level at Qinhuangdao and Tanggu. Significant tide-surge interactions were observed at all four tide gauges. The tide-surge interaction that results in peak surges mostly occurs during the flood and ebb tides. There is a statistically significant negative correlation between storm surge intensity and the Arctic Oscillation (AO) at Longkou and Tanggu, while there is a significantly positive correlation between storm surge intensity and the Siberian High (SH) at Huludao, Qinhuangdao and Tanggu. A linear regression analysis revealed that the variations of the AO and SH explained 19–48% of the variations in the storm surge intensity in the Bohai Sea.
机译:本研究主要利用渤海每小时潮汐仪数据调查不同时间尺度上的风暴潮变化。分别分析了季节变化,年代际变化,长期趋势和潮涌相互作用。结果表明,渤海西南部的风暴潮大于北部。冬季(10月至3月)的风暴潮比夏季的半年严重。渤海年代际变化显着,自2010年以来极端风暴潮事件一直在加剧。1980年至2016年,三个潮汐量表(秦皇岛,葫芦岛和塘沽)的风暴潮强度呈下降趋势,并呈上升趋势。秦皇岛和塘沽的显着水平达到95%。在所有四个潮汐仪上都观察到了明显的潮涌相互作用。导致高峰潮汐的潮汐浪涌相互作用主要发生在洪水和退潮期间。龙口和塘沽的风暴潮强度与北极涛动(AO)之间存在统计学上的显着负相关,而葫芦岛,秦皇岛和塘沽的风暴潮强度与西伯利亚高压(SH)之间存在显着的正相关。线性回归分析显示,AO和SH的变化解释了渤海风暴潮强度变化的19–48%。

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