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On the question of proportionality of the count of observed Scrapie cases and the size of holding

机译:关于观察到的Scrapie病例数与保有量的比例问题

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摘要

BackgroundThe present paper investigates the question of a suitable basic model for the number of scrapie cases in a holding and applications of this knowledge to the estimation of scrapie-affected holding population sizes and adequacy of control measures within holding. Is the number of scrapie cases proportional to the size of the holding in which case it should be incorporated into the parameter of the error distribution for the scrapie counts? Or, is there a different – potentially more complex – relationship between case count and holding size in which case the information about the size of the holding should be better incorporated as a covariate in the modeling?
机译:背景技术本论文研究了一个合适的基本模型,该模型适用于一个养殖场中的瘙痒病病例数,并将该知识应用于估计受瘙痒病影响的养殖场人口规模以及养殖场内控制措施的充分性。瘙痒病病例数是否与养殖场规模成正比,在这种情况下应将其纳入瘙痒病计数的误差分布参数中?或者,案例数与馆藏规模之间是否存在不同的关系(可能更复杂),在这种情况下,应更好地将有关馆藏规模的信息作为协变量纳入建模中?

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